Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Israel Under-20s win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay Under-20s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay Under-20s.