Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-20s win with a probability of 77.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 7.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-20s win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.07%) and 1-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Israel Under-20s win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.