Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.92% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a Amiens win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.