Taca de Portugal
Oct 18, 2026 3.00pm
3
2
ET Estádio Municipal de Mafra
  • Rodrigo Matos 35' goal
  • Celso Raposo 76' yellowcard
  • Lénio 89' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Matos 90'+2' goal
  • Mamor Niang 101' goal
  • Lénio 105' redcard
  • goal Djé 7'
  • yellowcard Pedro Ferreira 31'
  • yellowcard Djé 43'
  • redcard Djé 45'+2'
  • goal Fernando 61'
  • yellowcard Tiago Ribeiro 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Soares 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'

Mafra vs Santa Clara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mafra

All competitions

Santa Clara

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.42% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%) , while for a Mafra win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Mafra 25.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 26.42%
Santa Clara 48.42% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 28.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.41%
Under 2.5 53.59%
Over 3.5 25.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.8% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Mafra 21.31%
Draw 46.26%
Santa Clara 32.43%

Team To Score First

Mafra 38.52%
No Goal 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Santa Clara 53.01% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.23%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 38.22%
Over 9 39.15%
Equal 9 11.08%
Under 9 49.77%
Over 10.5 29.34%
Under 10.5 70.66%

Mafra Goals

Over 1.5 25.26% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 74.74% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 7.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 92.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.76% ▼ (-0.04)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5 75.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 24.28% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 43.66% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 56.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 19.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 93.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Mafra 25.11%
Draw 26.43%
Santa Clara 48.43%
Mafra
1-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.43%
Santa Clara
0-1 @ 11.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 48.43%