Mafra
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Mafra
Feirense

Mafra
3 - 1
Feirense

Almeida (41'), Balbudia (99'), Nibe (110')
Dju (61'), Diao (80'), Balbudia (99')
FT
(aet)
Hatamoto (64')
Oliveira (52'), Hatamoto (80'), Camara (95')
Oliveira (90+1')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Mafra and Feirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Torreense 1-0 Mafra
Friday, July 21 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
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Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Feirense (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 11am in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feirense win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Mafra win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%).

Result
MafraDrawFeirense
36.3% (-0.067 -0.07)25.42% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)38.28% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 56.23% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (0.064 0.06)47.62% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (0.061 0.06)69.82% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.56% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-0.012 -0.01)60.42% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Feirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (0.075000000000003 0.08)24.47% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (0.105 0.11)58.92% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Mafra 36.3%
    Feirense 38.28%
    Draw 25.42%
MafraDrawFeirense
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.28%