Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT swissporarena
  • Erik Janza  10' goal
  • Dan Ndoye 38' goal
  • Michel Aebischer 40' yellowcard
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 2'
  • yellowcard Zan Vipotnik 23'
  • yellowcard David Zec 28'
  • yellowcard Vanja Drkusic 29'
  • yellowcard Jaka Bijol 58'
  • yellowcard Erik Janza  79'

Switzerland vs Slovenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

Slovenia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.08% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Switzerland 55.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 26.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Slovenia 18.18% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.15% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.12% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 29.88% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 44.73% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 2.5 55.27% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 3.5 24.21% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 75.79% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 4.5 14.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.87% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Switzerland 41.77% ▲ (+0.68)
Draw 41.6% ▼ (-0.76)
Slovenia 16.63% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Switzerland 61.95% ▲ (+0.75)
No Goal 9.33% ▼ (-0.12)
Slovenia 28.72% ▼ (-0.63)

Corners

Over 8 58.71% ▲ (+3.99)
Equal 8 12.12% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 8 29.16% ▼ (-3.78)
Over 9 46.21% ▲ (+3.78)
Equal 9 12.5% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 9 41.29% ▼ (-3.99)
Over 10.5 34.51% ▲ (+3.23)
Under 10.5 65.49% ▼ (-3.24)

Switzerland Goals

Over 1.5 48.21% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 51.79% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 22.93% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 77.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 90.82% ▲ (+0.07)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 50.41% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 49.59% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 18.63% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 1.5 81.37% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 2.5 5.47% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 94.53% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 1.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 98.6% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Switzerland 55.7%
Draw 26.08%
Slovenia 18.18%
Switzerland
1-0 @ 13.81% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 55.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▼ (-0.27)
0-0 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.35)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 26.08%
Slovenia
0-1 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 18.18%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 13, 2025 7.45pm
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 13, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 8, 2025 7.45pm
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 8, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
European Championship
Sep 5, 2015 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fabian Schar 55' yellowcard
  • Stephan Lichtsteiner 63' yellowcard
  • Blerim Dzemaili 63' yellowcard
  • Valon Behrami 64' yellowcard
  • Josip Drmic 80' goal
  • Valentin Stocker 84' goal
  • Josip Drmic 94' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 24'
  • yellowcard Milivoje Novakovic 34'
  • goal Milivoje Novakovic 45'
  • goal Bostjan Cesar 48'
  • yellowcard Nejc Pecnik 64'
  • yellowcard Samir Handanovic 65'
  • yellowcard Josip Ilicic 88'
European Championship
Oct 9, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zlatan Ljubijankic 36' yellowcard
  • Milvoje Novakovic 79' goal
  • Dejan Lazarevic 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Johan Djourou 79'