Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Sion had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.