Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.