Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.