Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bodrumspor had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Bodrumspor win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.