Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bodrumspor had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Bodrumspor win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Bodrumspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
21.71% ( 0.04)	25.99% ( 0.01)	52.3% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 45.43% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.7% (

57.3% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87% (

78.14% (

Bodrumspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.25% (

0.04)

41.75% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78% (

0.03)

78.22% (

-0.03)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.02)

22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

-0.03)

55.32% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bodrumspor 21.71%

Fenerbahce 52.28%

Draw 25.99%

Bodrumspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.71%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 13.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 52.28%