Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Besiktas in this match.