Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.