Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alanyaspor in this match.