Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.