Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
Galatasaray

Samsunspor
0 - 2
Galatasaray


Ntcham (64'), van Drongelen (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akgun (14'), Osimhen (46')
Elmali (45+2'), Sara (51'), Sallai (70'), Jakobs (85'), Sallai (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Samsunspor
Saturday, April 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Galatasaray

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Galatasaray
Saturday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawGalatasaray
31.37% (-0.183 -0.18)23.31% (-0.044 -0.04)45.32% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 62.35% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.98% (0.12 0.12)39.02% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65% (0.125 0.13)61.34% (-0.129 -0.13)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.34% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)58.74% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.134 0.13)17.58% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.85% (0.235 0.23)48.14% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 31.37%
    Galatasaray 45.32%
    Draw 23.3%
SamsunsporDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.37%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 45.32%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Galatasaray

Samsunspor
6.9%
Draw
13.8%
Galatasaray
79.3%
58
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