Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.