Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
Apr 26, 2025 at 5pm UK
Bodrum Ilce Stadi

Bodrumspor
1 - 2
Samsunspor

Aslan (4')
Ajeti (80'), Fredy (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ntcham (11' pen.), Dimata (38')
Ntcham (75'), Kocuk (79'), van Drongelen (81'), Holse (88'), (90+16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Bodrumspor and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Bodrumspor
Friday, April 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-0 Samsunspor
Monday, April 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodrumspor win with a probability of 41.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 29.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodrumspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
BodrumsporDrawSamsunspor
41.05% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)29.49% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)29.46% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.36% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.69% (0.087000000000003 0.09)64.3% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)83.4% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
Bodrumspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30.85% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (0.037999999999997 0.04)67.13% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.26% (0.087000000000003 0.09)38.73% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)75.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bodrumspor 41.05%
    Samsunspor 29.45%
    Draw 29.48%
BodrumsporDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 14.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.48%
0-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 29.45%

How you voted: Bodrumspor vs Samsunspor

Bodrumspor
27.3%
Draw
54.5%
Samsunspor
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 14
Samsunspor
4-0
Bodrumspor
Van Drongelen (6'), Mouandilmadji (51', 55'), Aydogdu (90+3')