Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 1, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 1
Kayserispor

Aydogdu (90+5'), Muja (90+8')
Kilinc (68'), Yavru (76'), van Drongelen (85'), (90+9'), Muja (90+9'), Holse (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nazon (46')
Kolovetsios (44'), Gezek (76'), Cardoso (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-2 Samsunspor
Sunday, May 25 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-1 Bodrumspor
Sunday, May 25 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Samsunspor in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Samsunspor.

Result
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
59.02% (-0.515 -0.52)21.76% (0.193 0.19)19.21% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51% (-0.376 -0.38)43.49% (0.375 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)65.88% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)14.39% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.71% (-0.553 -0.55)42.29% (0.553 0.55)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (0.124 0.12)36.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (0.127 0.13)73.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 59.02%
    Kayserispor 19.21%
    Draw 21.76%
SamsunsporDrawKayserispor
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.09% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 59.02%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.76%
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 19.21%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Kayserispor

Samsunspor
94.4%
Draw
5.6%
Kayserispor
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 10.30am
Gameweek 19
Kayserispor
0-1
Samsunspor

Civelek (90+3')
Mouandilmadji (1')
Yavru (79'), Kocuk (90+2')
Jul 15, 2024 4pm
Club Friendlies 2
Kayserispor
1-3
Samsunspor
Nazon (47')
Mouandilmadji (4' pen.), Ntcham (65'), Kara (83')
Jan 25, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Samsunspor
2-0
Kayserispor
Yavru (10'), Kara (57')
Aug 27, 2023 5.15pm