Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Samsunspor in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Samsunspor.