Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 77.05%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.