Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 38.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.72%) and 0-2 (4.86%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.