Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 4
Sep 6, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT İsmetpaşa Stadyumu
  • Florian Ayé 26' goal
  • Massadio Haïdara 28' yellowcard

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kocaelispor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.00pm
Konyaspor 1 - 2 Kocaelispor
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Berkan Kutlu

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.30pm
Samsunspor 0 - 2 Fenerbahce
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Fatih Kaya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kocaelispor win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kocaelispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (10.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Kocaelispor 35.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 28.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Samsunspor 35.78% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.69% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 44.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 55.4% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 23.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.49%
Under 4.5 87.51%

First Half Winner

Kocaelispor 28.65%
Draw 46.2%
Samsunspor 25.15%

Team To Score First

Kocaelispor 49.24% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 9.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Samsunspor 41.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.78%
Equal 8 12.34%
Under 8 36.88%
Over 9 38.87%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 49.22%
Over 10.5 28.35%
Under 10.5 71.65%

Kocaelispor Goals

Over 1.5 33.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.7%
Under 3.5 96.3%

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 67.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 33.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.91%
Under 3.5 96.09%

Score analysis

Kocaelispor 35.91%
Draw 28.32%
Samsunspor 35.79%
Kocaelispor
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 35.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.32%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Jan 24, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Olivier Ntcham 46' yellowcard
  • Joe Mendes 68' yellowcard
  • Cherif Ndiaye 68' yellowcard
  • Tahsin Bülbül 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rigoberto Rivas 46'
  • yellowcard Samet Yalçın 68'
  • yellowcard Can Keleş 78'
  • yellowcard Serdar Dursun 88'
Turkish Super Lig
Aug 16, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT