Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
35.68% ( -0.32)	23.19% ( -0.19)	41.13% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 64.34% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.95% (

0.89)

37.05% (

-0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.76% (

0.96)

59.24% (

-0.95)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

0.24)

21.05% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15% (

0.38)

53.85% (

-0.37)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

0.6)

18.51% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.27% (

0.99)

49.73% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 35.68%

Istanbul Basaksehir 41.13%

Draw 23.19%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.68%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.66% Total : 41.13%