Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.