Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.