Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33

Apr 25, 2025 at 6pm UK

Vodafone Park (Istanbul)

Besiktas
5 - 1
Hatayspor

Immobile (36' pen., 52' pen., 59'), Silva (53'), Alexander Arroyo Alvarado (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Parmak (20')
Fernandes (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Goztepe SK 1-1 Besiktas
Saturday, April 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hatayspor

All competitions

Last Game: Hatayspor 2-3 Konyaspor
Friday, April 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Hatayspor
66.93% ( 0.24)	18.33% ( -0.12)	14.73% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.28% (

0.28)

35.71% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.22% (

0.31)

57.78% (

-0.31)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.13% (

0.13)

9.86% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.29% (

0.31)

32.7% (

-0.32)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.02% (

0.01)

36.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.23% (

0.01)

73.76% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 66.94%

Hatayspor 14.73%

Draw 18.33%

Besiktas	Draw	Hatayspor
2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.22% Total : 66.94%	1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.33%	1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.73%