Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goztepe SK win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goztepe SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goztepe SK would win this match.