Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Fenerbahce
27.93% ( 0.01)	24.46%	47.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.7% (

0.01)

46.3% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.41% (

0.01)

68.59% (

-0.01)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

0.01)

30.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52% (

0.01)

66.48% (

-0.01)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

19.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

51.43%

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 27.93%

Fenerbahce 47.61%

Draw 24.46%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.07% 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.93%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.13% 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.61%