Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.11%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Besiktas
56.11% ( -0.07)	21.53% ( 0.06)	22.37% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.27% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.92% (

-0.29)

38.08% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.65% (

-0.31)

60.35% (

0.31)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

-0.12)

13.5% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.46% (

-0.24)

40.54% (

0.24)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

-0.16)

30.32% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5% (

-0.19)

66.5% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 56.11%

Besiktas 22.37%

Draw 21.53%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 22.37%