Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 76.3%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.