Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.