Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 2-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.