Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alanyaspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.