Turkish Super Lig
May 16, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı (İstanbul)
  • Sam Larsson 47' goal
  • Shavy Babicka 64' yellowcard
  • Sam Larsson 72' yellowcard
  • Sam Larsson 73' yellowcard
  • Fatih Kurucuk 90' yellowcard
  • Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Meschack Elia 32'
  • yellowcard İbrahim Kaya 72'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 72'
  • yellowcard İzzet Çelik 72'
  • yellowcard Efecan Karaca 81'
  • yellowcard Güven Yalçın 82'

Fatih Karagumruk vs Alanyaspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Kocaelispor 0 - 1 Karagumruk
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Serginho

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Alanyaspor 3 - 1 Kayserispor
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Guven Yalcin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alanyaspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Fatih Karagumruk 36.08% (-1.08)
Draw 27.61% (-0.18)
Alanyaspor 36.28% (+1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.94% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.47% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 31.53% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 43.29% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 56.71% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 22.57% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 77.43% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 11.65% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 88.35% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Fatih Karagumruk 24.56% (-0.58)
Draw 44.43% (+0.03)
Alanyaspor 31.01% (+0.56)

Team To Score First

Fatih Karagumruk 42.05% (-0.33)
No Goal 9.99% (-0.13)
Alanyaspor 47.96% (+0.46)

Corners

Over 8 48.35% (+0.29)
Equal 8 12.47% (-0.01)
Under 8 39.18% (-0.28)
Over 9 36.55% (+0.27)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.03)
Under 9 51.65% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 26.33% (+0.24)
Under 10.5 73.67% (-0.24)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 1.5 32.09% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 67.91% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 11.29% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 88.71% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 3.26% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 96.74% (+0.13)

Alanyaspor Goals

Over 0.5 65.84% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 34.16% (-0.87)
Over 1.5 32.95% (+1.17)
Under 1.5 67.05% (-1.16)
Over 2.5 13.07% (+0.88)
Under 2.5 86.93% (-0.87)
Over 3.5 4.02% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 95.98% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 36.09%
Draw 27.6%
Alanyaspor 36.28%
Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.2% (-0.14)
Total : 36.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 27.6%
Alanyaspor
0-1 @ 10.22% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 7.85% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 5.95% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.62% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.64% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.96% (+0.34)
Total : 36.28%

Head to Head

Turkish Cup
Jan 13, 2026 10.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadyumu
  • Florent Hadergjonaj 16' goal
  • Maestro 61' yellowcard
  • Hwang Ui-jo 61' yellowcard
  • İbrahim Kaya 61' yellowcard
  • Ui-jo Hwang 61' yellowcard
  • Florent Hadergjonaj 74' yellowcard
  • Uchenna Ogundu 74' yellowcard
  • Baran Mogultay 90' yellowcard
  • Baran Moğultay 90' yellowcard
  • goal David Datro Fofana 28'
  • yellowcard David Datro Fofana 59'
  • yellowcard Marius Tresor Doh 65'
  • yellowcard Daniel Johnson 65'
  • yellowcard Tarık Buğra Kalpaklı 65'
  • yellowcard Ahmet Sivri 65'
  • yellowcard Burhan Ersoy 77'
Turkish Super Lig
Dec 21, 2025 11.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hwang Ui-jo 13' goal
  • Efecan Karaca 19' yellowcard
  • Hwang Ui-jo 37' yellowcard
  • Ruan Pereira Duarte 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Guven Yalcin 58' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 65'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vefa Stadi
  • Valentin Eysseric 24' goal
  • Ryan Mendes 33' redcard
  • Kevin Lasagna 65' yellowcard
  • Munir Mercan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Kourbelis 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Lima 49'
  • yellowcard Florent Hadergjonaj 90'+2'
  • goal Ahmed Mahgoub 90'+5'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Bahcesehir Okullari Arena
  • Carlos Eduardo 18' goal
  • Furkan Bayir 62' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Ozdemir 72' yellowcard
  • Oguz Aydin 83' goal
  • Nicolas Janvier 90' yellowcard
  • Ertugrul Taskiran 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otabek Shukurov 39'
  • goal Guven Yalcin 90'+2'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2023 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Umut Gunes 6' goal
  • Ivan Cavaleiro 83' goal
  • goal Fabio Borini 59'
  • goal Fabio Borini 79'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 5.15pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
  • Otabek Shukurov 36' yellowcard
  • Fabio Borini 54' yellowcard
  • Fabio Borini 55' goal
  • Davide Biraschi 72' goal
  • yellowcard Furkan Bayir 15'
  • goal Wilson Eduardo 19'
  • goal Efkan Bekiroglu 28'
  • yellowcard Daniel Candeias 45'+3'
  • goal Wilson Eduardo 70'
  • yellowcard Tayfur Bingol 76'
  • goal Erencan Yardimci 90'+3'