World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 4pm UK

First Statement Stadium

Sudan
1 - 0
Congo DR

Pickel (79' og.)
Adil (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tshibola (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sudan and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 1-1 Togo
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Congo DR

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 2-0 Mauritania
Wednesday, November 15 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Congo DR
19.89% ( 0.11)	27.71% ( 0.06)	52.41% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 39.05% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.6% (

-0.09)

64.4% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.53% (

-0.06)

83.47% (

0.07)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.09% (

0.07)

47.91% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.84% (

0.05)

83.16% (

-0.05)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

-0.12)

25.03% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3% (

-0.17)

59.7% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Sudan 19.89%

Congo DR 52.4%

Draw 27.7%

Sudan	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.89%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.11% Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 16.6% 0-2 @ 11.5% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 52.4%