Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.