Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.