Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.