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Stevenage
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 29, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Portsmouth

Stevenage
3 - 3
Portsmouth

List (9'), Carter (10'), Cuthbert (29')
FT
(aet)
Curtis (21'), Evans (45+2' pen.), Marquis (51')
Evans (44')
Portsmouth win 3-1 on penalties

Preview: Stevenage vs. Portsmouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's EFL Cup first-round clash between Stevenage and Portsmouth, including team news and predicted lineups.

Stevenage and Portsmouth will lock horns at the Lamex Stadium on Saturday afternoon with a spot in the second round of the EFL Cup up for grabs.

Portsmouth missed out on promotion to the Championship last term as they lost to Oxford United in the semi-finals of the League One playoffs, while Stevenage saw their 2019-20 League Two campaign end in March due to the coronavirus outbreak, which led to the season being called off.


Match preview

General view of Stevenage's Broadhall Way from 2013© Reuters

Stevenage, who only won three league games last season, preserved their status in the Football League for the 2020-21 campaign with Macclesfield Town ultimately being relegated from the fourth tier.

There is no getting away from the fact that it was a tough season for Alex Revell's side, who have not been in competitive action since a 3-1 defeat at Crewe Alexandra on March 7.

Stevenage have actually lost their last nine competitive matches, but they have played two friendlies since returning to training, drawing 1-1 with MK Dons and losing 1-0 to Luton Town.

The League Two side will face Southampton's Under-21 side in the EFL Trophy on September 7 before opening their league campaign away to Barrow on September 12, meaning that Revell will be desperate to get his players up to speed as soon as possible ahead of what could be another difficult season.

Portsmouth players celebrate scoring against Oxford United in the League One playoff semi-final on July 3, 2020© Reuters

Portsmouth, as mentioned, lost to Oxford United on penalties in the semi-finals of the League One playoffs at the start of July as they missed out on the chance to return to the Championship.

As a result, Kenny Jackett's side are set for another campaign in the third tier of English football, and it is a quick turnaround as they also have an EFL Trophy clash before starting their league season.

Indeed, Pompey will take on Colchester United in the EFL Trophy on September 8 before hosting Shrewsbury Town in their League One opener on September 12.

Portsmouth have not actually advanced past the third round of the League Cup since reaching the quarter-finals in 2009-10, while they have gone out at this stage in three of the last four seasons.

Stevenage EFL Cup form: LWLLLL

Portsmouth EFL Cup form: LLLWWL


Team News

Portsmouth's Christian Burgess pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Stevenage could hand a debut to Remeao Hutton, having agreed to sign the defender on a season-long loan from Championship side Birmingham City.

Danny Newton, who recently agreed a new contract with the club, should also feature, while Luke Prosser and Ben Coker are also likely to be in the starting XI on Saturday afternoon.

Portsmouth, meanwhile, will have to make changes from the side that started against Oxford in their last competitive match as Christian Burgess has moved on.

Steve Seddon and Cameron McGeehan have also returned to their parent clubs, but there are unlikely to be changes in attack with Ellis Harrison and Ronan Curtis expected to feature once again.

Stevenage possible starting lineup:
Johnson; Hutton, Marshall, Prosser, Coker; Carter, Vincelot, Lakin; List, Marsh, Kemp

Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bass; Bolton, Naylor, Raggett, Brown; Morris, Close; Williams, Harness, Curtis; Harrison


SM words green background

We say: Stevenage 0-2 Portsmouth

Both teams will feel that they have bigger fish to fry at this stage, but we expect Portsmouth's superior quality across the board to prevail, ultimately backing the visitors to record a 2-0 win.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:curl


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.86%).


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Data Failed

Who will progress to the second round of the EFL Cup, Stevenage or Portsmouth?

Stevenage
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Portsmouth
0.0%
0
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Oxford United manager Karl Robinson pictured in October 2019
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