Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de l'Amitié
  • Sakariya Hassan 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eloge Patrick Zabi Gueu 79'
  • goal Yann Gboho 89'
  • goal Bazoumana Touré 90'+5'

Somalia vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Somalia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 82.95%. A draw had a probability of 10.96% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 6.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.79%) and 0-1 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%) , while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Somalia 6.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 10.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Ivory Coast 82.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

31.52% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 18.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 62.7% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 37.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 40.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 59.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 34.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 65.47% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Somalia 4.49%
Draw 22.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Ivory Coast 72.96%

Team To Score First

Somalia 8.96% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 4.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Ivory Coast 86.43% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 23.02%
Equal 8 8.87%
Under 8 68.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 16.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 6.68%
Under 9 76.98%
Over 10.5 11.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 88.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Somalia Goals

Over 1.5 5.63% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 94.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 0.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 99.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.02%
Under 3.5 99.98%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 91.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 8.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 73.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 33.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Somalia 6.13%
Draw 10.98%
Ivory Coast 82.95%
Somalia
1-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 6.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 10.98%
Ivory Coast
0-2 @ 12.9% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 33.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 82.95%