Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Avellino 1 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Dennis Johnsen

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 0 Ascoli
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Pietro Fusi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palermo win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw has a probability of 25.39% and a win for Calcio Padova has a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it is 0-1 (5.17%).

Result

Palermo 56.58% (-1.27)
Draw 25.39% (+0.68)
Calcio Padova 18.03% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.7% (+1.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71% (+1.76)
Under 1.5 24.29% (-1.77)
Over 2.5 52.14% (+2.94)
Under 2.5 47.86% (-2.92)
Over 3.5 29.63% (+2.56)
Under 3.5 70.37% (-2.57)
Over 4.5 18.14% (+1.86)
Under 4.5 81.86% (-1.86)

First Half Winner

Palermo 39.09% (-4.07)
Draw 41.41% (+0.83)
Calcio Padova 19.5% (+3.24)

Team To Score First

Palermo 60.25% (-4.66)
No Goal 7.54% (-0.27)
Calcio Padova 32.21% (+4.93)

Corners

Over 8 59.69% (+3.07)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.40)
Under 8 28.69% (-3.47)
Over 9 47.64% (+2.33)
Equal 9 12.04% (+0.74)
Under 9 40.31% (-3.07)
Over 10.5 36.25% (+1.41)
Under 10.5 63.75% (-1.41)

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 53.12% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 46.88% (-0.92)
Over 2.5 27.15% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 72.85% (-1.54)
Over 3.5 11.42% (+0.92)
Under 3.5 88.58% (-0.91)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 53.14% (+1.07)
Under 0.5 46.86% (-1.07)
Over 1.5 22.17% (+2.49)
Under 1.5 77.83% (-2.49)
Over 2.5 7.53% (+1.84)
Under 2.5 92.47% (-1.85)
Over 3.5 2.11% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 97.89% (-0.77)

Score analysis

Palermo 56.59%
Draw 25.39%
Calcio Padova 18.03%
Palermo
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.78)
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.71)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.56)
3-0 @ 6.72% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.17% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.82% (+0.55)
Total : 56.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.46)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.6% (+0.37)
Total : 25.39%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.67)
1-2 @ 4.95% (+0.41)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.45% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.37% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.51% (+0.39)
Total : 18.03%

Head to Head

Serie B
Mar 21, 2026 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Euganeo
  • Papu Gómez 58' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Giulio Favale 65' yellowcard
  • Cristian Buonaiuto 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Peda 46'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 54'
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 64'
  • yellowcard 64'
  • yellowcard Aljosa Vasic 78'
  • goal Mattia Bani 90'+2'
Serie B
Dec 27, 2025 4.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 33' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 38' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Jonas Harder 71'
  • yellowcard Pietro Fusi 90'+3'