Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Niccolò Pierozzi 42' yellowcard
  • Dominic Vavassori 44' goal
  • Filippo Ranocchia 66' yellowcard
  • Dominic Vavassori 83' goal
  • goal Christian Pastina 7'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cocchi 61'
  • redcard Lorenzo Carissoni 90'+1'

Palermo vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Avellino 1 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Dennis Johnsen

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 0 Ascoli
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Pietro Fusi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.72% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Palermo 56.43% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 25.72% ▲ (+0.33)
Calcio Padova 17.85% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.22% ▼ (-0.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.97% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 25.03% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 2.5 51.11% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 48.89% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 3.5 28.56% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 3.5 71.44% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 4.5 17.19% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 4.5 82.81% ▲ (+0.94)

First Half Winner

Palermo 38.4% ▼ (-0.70)
Draw 42.23% ▲ (+0.83)
Calcio Padova 19.37% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Palermo 59.98% ▼ (-0.28)
No Goal 7.75% ▲ (+0.21)
Calcio Padova 32.27% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 59.17% ▼ (-0.52)
Equal 8 11.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 29.24% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 9 47.23% ▼ (-0.42)
Equal 9 11.95% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 40.83% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 10.5 35.96% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 64.04% ▲ (+0.30)

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 52.33% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 47.67% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 2.5 26.36% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 73.64% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 10.74% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 3.5 89.26% ▲ (+0.68)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 53.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 46.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.62% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 78.38% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 2.5 7.24% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 92.76% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 1.95% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 98.05% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Palermo 56.43%
Draw 25.71%
Calcio Padova 17.86%
Palermo
1-0 @ 11.99% ▲ (+0.38)
2-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.64)
Total : 56.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.32)
0-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 25.71%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 17.86%

Head to Head

Serie B
Mar 21, 2026 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Euganeo
  • Papu Gómez 58' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Giulio Favale 65' yellowcard
  • Cristian Buonaiuto 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patryk Peda 46'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 54'
  • yellowcard Samuel Giovane 64'
  • yellowcard 64'
  • yellowcard Aljosa Vasic 78'
  • goal Mattia Bani 90'+2'
Serie B
Dec 27, 2025 4.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 33' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 38' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Jonas Harder 71'
  • yellowcard Pietro Fusi 90'+3'