Segunda Division Gameweek 12
Nov 1, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Sporting Gijon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 3.15pm
Cadiz 3 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jordi Escobar

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 5.30pm
Castellon 4 - 0 Sporting Gijon
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Antonio Casas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Sporting Gijon has a probability of 32.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win is 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Ceuta 42.06% ▲ (+3.13)
Draw 25.05% ▼ (-0.93)
Sporting Gijon 32.89% ▼ (-2.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.93% ▼ (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.86% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 23.14% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 54.25% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 2.5 45.75% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 3.5 31.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 68.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 18.49% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 81.51% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 33.55% ▲ (+1.82)
Draw 45.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Sporting Gijon 21.1% ▼ (-1.80)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 55% ▲ (+3.03)
No Goal 6.42% ▼ (-0.17)
Sporting Gijon 38.58% ▼ (-2.86)

Corners

Over 8 56.15% ▼ (-1.67)
Equal 8 11.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 32.32% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 9 44.56% ▼ (-1.58)
Equal 9 11.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 9 43.85% ▲ (+1.67)
Over 10.5 33.87% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 10.5 66.13% ▲ (+1.36)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 42.38% ▲ (+2.21)
Under 1.5 57.62% ▼ (-2.21)
Over 2.5 18.65% ▲ (+1.63)
Under 2.5 81.35% ▼ (-1.64)
Over 3.5 6.47% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 3.5 93.53% ▼ (-0.66)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% ▼ (-1.96)
Under 0.5 32.27% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 1.5 35.55% ▼ (-2.11)
Under 1.5 64.45% ▲ (+2.11)
Over 2.5 14.81% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 85.19% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 3.5 5.34% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 94.66% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Ceuta 42.05%
Draw 25.05%
Sporting Gijon 32.89%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.35)
2-1 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.50)
2-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.41)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.44)
3-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.61)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.78)
Total : 42.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% ▼ (-0.30)
0-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 25.05%
Sporting Gijon
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.34)
0-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.50)
0-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.57)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.32)
Total : 32.89%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
May 3, 2026 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinón
  • Gaspar Campos 30' goal
  • Pablo García 46' yellowcard
  • Eric Curbelo 46' yellowcard
  • Dani Queipo 62' yellowcard
  • Amadou Coundoul 72' yellowcard
  • Miguel Conde 79' yellowcard
  • goal Andrés Cuenca 25' (OG)
  • goal Konrad de la Fuente 28'
  • yellowcard Salvi 46'
  • yellowcard Marc Domènech 63'
  • yellowcard José Matos 68'
  • yellowcard José Matos 69'
  • yellowcard José Campaña 90'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Almenara 90'
Segunda Division
Aug 23, 2025 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT