Segunda Division Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2026 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Álex Petxarroman 20' yellowcard
  • Marino Illescas 22' yellowcard
  • Jordi Escobar 43' yellowcard
  • José Juan Romero 56' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Camacho 83' goal
  • Kuki Zalazar 90' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Rodríguez 23'
  • yellowcard David Jiménez 25'
  • goal Carlos Domínguez 61'
  • yellowcard Aritz Aldasoro 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Carlos Domínguez 90'+7'

Ceuta vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.15pm
Ceuta 1 - 2 Sabadell
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Jordi Escobar

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 5.30pm
Real Oviedo 3 - 1 Eibar
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Carlos Domínguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Real Oviedo has a probability of 30.94% and a draw has a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win is 1-2 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.31%).

Result

Ceuta 44.5% ▲ (+0.37)
Draw 24.56% ▼ (-0.15)
Real Oviedo 30.94% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.95% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.05% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 21.95% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 55.4% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 44.56% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 32.81% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 67.19% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 19.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.69% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 34.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 45.3% ▼ (-0.15)
Real Oviedo 20.49% ▲ (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 59.48% ▲ (+0.33)
No Goal 6.03% ▲ (+0.13)
Real Oviedo 34.49% ▼ (-0.45)

Corners

Over 8 56.99% ▲ (+0.59)
Equal 8 11.7% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 8 31.31% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 9 45.14% ▲ (+0.72)
Equal 9 11.85% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 9 43.01% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 10.5 34.14% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 10.5 65.86% ▼ (-0.75)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 45.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 20.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 79.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 7.69% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.31% ▼ (-0.05)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 66.49% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 33.51% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 34.45% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 65.55% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 13.59% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 86.41% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 4.76% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 95.24% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Ceuta 44.5%
Draw 24.56%
Real Oviedo 30.93%
Ceuta
2-1 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 44.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 24.56%
Real Oviedo
1-2 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 30.93%