Segunda Division Gameweek 11
Oct 25, 2026 5.30pm
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon vs Sporting Gijon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 8.00pm
Las Palmas 0 - 3 Castellon
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Ousmane Camara

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 5.30pm
Sporting Gijon 2 - 1 Albacete
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Antonio Casas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Castellon win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw has a probability of 22.07% and a win for Sporting Gijon has a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.2%) and 2-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Sporting Gijon win it is 0-1 (5.37%).

Result

Castellon 59.32%
Draw 22.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Sporting Gijon 18.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.01% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 67.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 19.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 80.49% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Castellon 48.98% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 37.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Sporting Gijon 13.94% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Castellon 69.14% ▲ (+0.10)
No Goal 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Sporting Gijon 25.17% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 55.64% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 44.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 44.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 33.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 10.5 66.33% ▼ (-0.10)

Castellon Goals

Over 1.5 55.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 44.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 29.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 70.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 12.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 87.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5 54.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 45.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 22.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.69% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Castellon 59.32%
Draw 22.07%
Sporting Gijon 18.6%
Castellon
1-0 @ 10.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.05%
3-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 12.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 59.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.07%
Sporting Gijon
0-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 18.6%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinón
  • Juan Otero 42' goal
  • Andrés Ferrari 47' goal
  • Gaspar Campos 50' yellowcard
  • Juan Otero 76' goal
  • Pablo García 84' yellowcard
  • Justin Smith 84' yellowcard
  • Pablo García 89' goal
  • Amadou Coundoul 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Álex Calatrava 32'
  • yellowcard Israel Suero 61'
  • yellowcard Raúl Sánchez 62'
  • yellowcard Marc-Olivier Doué 78'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Brignani 82'
  • yellowcard Alberto Jiménez 82'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 82'
Segunda Division
Oct 5, 2025 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 38
May 5, 2025 7.30pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Nou Estadi Castalia
  • Raul Sanchez 17' goal
  • Raul Sanchez 45'+3' goal
  • Sergio Moyita 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz 52' yellowcard
  • Alberto Jimenez 67' goal
  • Kevin Vazquez 71' goal
  • Daijiro Chirino 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ferney Otero 19'
  • goal Ferney Otero 31'
  • yellowcard Diego Sanchez 45'+5'
  • goal Ferney Otero 53'
  • goal Ferney Otero 90'+1'
Segunda Division Gameweek 9
Oct 14, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinon
  • Cesar Gelabert 19' yellowcard
  • Nacho Mendez 62' goal
  • Diego Sanchez 87' goal
  • Jonathan Dubasin 89' yellowcard
  • Ferney Otero 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jetro Willems 2'
  • goal Kenneth Obinna Mamah 21'
  • yellowcard Raul Sanchez 55'
Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 24, 2021 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Delgado 17' yellowcard
  • David Cubillas 20' goal
  • Carles Salvador 24' yellowcard
  • Iago Indias 43' yellowcard
  • Luis Gustavo 53' goal
  • yellowcard Bogdan Milovanov 26'
  • yellowcard Pedro Diaz 73'
Segunda Division Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2020 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Saul Garcia 33' yellowcard
  • Uros Durdevic 40' goal
  • yellowcard Adrian Lapena 68'
  • yellowcard Arturo Molina 79'
  • yellowcard Josep Sene 85'
  • redcard Arturo Molina 90'+2'