Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
45.8% ( 0.14)	28.97% ( 0.16)	25.24% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 41.29% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.58% (

-0.64)

64.42% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.51% (

-0.46)

83.48% (

0.46)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71% (

-0.23)

28.29% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99% (

-0.3)

64.01% (

0.3)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.57% (

-0.65)

42.43% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.2% (

-0.56)

78.8% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Burgos 45.79%

Racing Club de Ferrol 25.24%

Draw 28.96%

Burgos	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 15.15% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.55% Total : 45.79%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.96%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.11% Total : 25.24%