Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.