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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Nov 7, 2021 at 11pm UK
Empire Field
Seattle Sounders

Vancouver
1 - 1
Seattle

Gauld (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Montero (8' pen.)
Tolo (31'), Gomez Andrade (35'), Leyva (80')

Preview: Vancouver Whitecaps vs. Seattle Sounders - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seattle Sounders can secure their position as Western Conference champions with a victory over Vancouver Whitecaps in the final regular season contest on Sunday evening.

Vancouver Whitecaps are chasing a place in the playoffs themselves and will confirm their spot in the top seven if they avoid defeat to Seattle.


Match preview

The Vancouver Whitecaps celebrates midfielder Ryan Gauld (25) goal against Sporting Kansas City goalkeeper Tim Melia (29) during the first half at BC Place on October 17, 2021© Reuters

A stellar Western Conference campaign for Seattle looks set to finish with the side topping the table, whilst securing a pass into the CONCACAF Champions League for next year.

It is just the second time in their Major League Soccer history that they have topped the Western Conference come the end of the regular season, having emulated the feat that they first managed in 2014.

That season ended in a MLS Cup heartbreak, and the Sounders will head into the playoffs confident of going the distance this time around.

A constant in the playoffs since their MLS induction in 2009, the Sounders are no strangers to success, with only two sides having won more US Open Cups than the Washington State-based outfit.

Chasing their third MLS Cup, the Sounders are once indebted to long-time manager Brian Schmetzer, who took charge of the club in 2016 and has overseen 206 matches as the Seattle coach.

Their previous two MLS Cup wins came under the Seattle-based coach and Schmetzer will be keen to make it three in five years when the playoffs commence.

There is a still a chance they could drop out of top spot in the Western Conference before the playoffs roll around, with Sporting Kansas City and Colorado Rapids both just one point behind the Sounders.

A win against the Whitecaps would secure the Western Conference title, and they will be hoping to replicate the scoreline from the previous meeting with the Vancouver-based outfit.

The Whitecaps have their own ambitions heading into the fixture, needing at least a point to ensure that they finish the regular season inside the top seven spaces.

Currently sitting in sixth, Vancouver have a three-point advantage over eighth-placed Real Salt Lake, with a draw enough to take them onto 49 points and into the playoffs.

Vancouver Whitecaps midfielder Janio Bikel celebrates his goal on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Much jeopardy lies on this fixture, with at least one side set to have a nervy end to the campaign, and the history books would suggest Seattle should be the most confident.

Unbeaten against the Whitecaps since April 2017, Seattle have played 12 times against Vancouver without losing and the Sounders will be keen to extend that record to 13 this weekend.

What is more, out of those 12 fixtures only four have finished in draws, meaning the Whitecaps may have to hope for a favour elsewhere if they are to qualify for their first playoffs since the 2017 campaign.

Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Seattle Sounders Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Seattle Sounders head coach Brian Schmetzer reacts on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Much of the Whitecaps' strong form this season has been down to the performances of Brian White, who leads the scoring chart for Vancouver with 12 goals.

He will be joined in attack by Cristian Dajome, who has 10 goals to his name himself, whilst Scottish playmaker Ryan Gauld is expected to start just behind the pair.

A broken ankle picked up in mid-August has kept Caio Alexandre out ever since, but the Brazilian midfielder has hopes of returning to the Whitecaps side should they progress to the playoffs.

Andy Rose is another absentee for the Seattle match who will targeting a return for the playoffs, with the 31-year-old currently suffering with a calf injury, which is the same issue facing Tosaint Ricketts.

Relatively good luck with injuries has helped Seattle to the position they are currently in, with their standout performer Raul Ruidiaz a crucial part to the Sounders success.

The Peruvian has scored 17 times in the league this season and keeping the 31-year-old forward quiet will prove a difficult task for an often leaky Whitecaps defence.

They are not without their injury worries, however, with Will Bruin in the latter stages of his recovery from a knee injury, whilst Jordy Delem is set to be out until the new year.

Vancouver Whitecaps possible starting lineup:
Crepeau; Godoy, Jungwirth, Nerwinski; Gasparm, Teiber, Owusu, Brown; Gauld, White, Dajome

Seattle Sounders possible starting lineup:
Frei; Gomez, Arreaga, Tolo; Roldan, Paulo, Rowe, Smith; Roldan, Lodeiro, Ruidiaz


SM words green background

We say: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Seattle Sounders

Much rests on the result of this game and both Seattle and Vancouver will be desperate to avoid the uncertainties of defeat when they meet on Sunday.

Seattle lead the Western Conference and thus enter the match as favourites, yet Vancouver know their playoff hopes rest on a result, making this one an extremely tight affair.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Vancouver vs Seattle

Vancouver Whitecaps
48.0%
Draw
24.0%
Seattle Sounders
28.0%
25
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Seattle Sounders FC head coach Brian Schmetzer on June 27, 2021
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1Inter MiamiInter Miami94321914515
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls8431117415
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
4Columbus Crew8341107313
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6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta7322127511
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC832398111
8DC United82421212010
9CF MontrealMontreal73131014-410
10Toronto8314812-410
11Chicago Fire82331114-39
12New York City FCNY City822479-28
13Orlando City7223813-58
14Nashville SCNashville7142813-57
15New England RevolutionNew England7115513-84

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy84311712515
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7412159613
3Houston DynamoHouston741297213
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8332118312
5Colorado RapidsColorado83321312112
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles83231312111
7St Louis City82511211111
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7322109111
9Sporting Kansas CityKansas82421413110
10Portland TimbersPortland8233161609
11Austin FCAustin82331113-29
12Seattle SoundersSeattle71339726
13Dallas7124610-45
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes81071020-103


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