Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 72.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a San Diego win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.