Scottish League One Gameweek 36
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matthew Aitken 9' goal
  • Ross Meechan 19' yellowcard
  • Blair Alston 60' goal
  • Kinlay Bilham 85' redcard
  • Michael Anderson 90' yellowcard
  • Bobby McLuckie 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Matthew Aitken 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mouhamed Niang 45'
  • goal Matthew Shiels 57'
  • yellowcard Joel Mumbongo 85'
  • yellowcard Matthew Shiels 85'

Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
QotS 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Corey O'Donnell

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
Dumbarton 3 - 1 Annan
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Michael Ruth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.

Result

Stenhousemuir 43.51% (-2.43)
Draw 24.45% (+0.25)
Dumbarton 32.04% (+2.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.58% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.89% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 44.1% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 33.51% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 66.48% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 17.17% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 82.83% (+0.10)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 79.6% (-1.10)
Under 0.5 20.39% (+1.10)
Over 1.5 47.18% (-1.78)
Under 1.5 52.82% (+1.78)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 73.59% (+1.35)
Under 0.5 26.41% (-1.35)
Over 1.5 38.42% (+1.76)
Under 1.5 61.57% (-1.76)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 43.52%
Draw 24.44%
Dumbarton 32.04%
Stenhousemuir
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.45)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.37)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.19)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.21)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 43.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.03% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.39% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.44%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 7.59% (+0.36)
0-1 @ 7.17% (+0.31)
0-2 @ 4.77% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 3.37% (+0.28)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.12% (+0.24)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-97.98)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.04%

Head to Head

Scottish League One Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Ryan Blair 44' yellowcard
  • Carlo Pignatiello 54' goal
  • Joel Mumbongo 57' yellowcard
  • Mouhamed Niang 71' yellowcard
  • Michael Miller 80' yellowcard
  • Matthew Shiels 82' yellowcard
  • goal Corey O'Donnell 22'
  • goal Corey O'Donnell 31'
  • goal Corey O'Donnell 40'
  • yellowcard Scott McGill 47'
  • yellowcard Ross Taylor 75'
Scottish League One Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Matt Yates 9' goal
  • Aaron Steele 25' goal
  • Matt Yates 39' yellowcard
  • Matt Yates 73' goal
  • Matt Yates 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Durnan 38'
  • redcard Findlay Gray 44'
  • yellowcard Tony Wallace 54'
  • redcard Brett Long 68'
  • yellowcard Mouhamed Niang 89'
Scottish League One Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Carlo Pignatiello 42' goal
  • Cameron Clark 52' yellowcard
  • Cameron Clark 70' redcard
  • goal Blair Alston 11'
  • goal Matthew Aitken 35'
  • goal Matthew Aitken 80'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Mark Durnan 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 37'
  • yellowcard Ross Taylor 70'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ochilview Park
  • Bradley Rodden 29' yellowcard
  • Adam Brown 37' yellowcard
  • Ross Taylor 65' goal
  • Ross Taylor 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Blair 62'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 64'
  • yellowcard Findlay Gray 66'
  • redcard Ryan Blair 75'
  • yellowcard Ryan Wallace 77'
  • yellowcard Carlo Pignatiello 81'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Blair Malcolm 34' yellowcard
  • Ryan Wallace 59' yellowcard
  • Aron Lynas 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kinlay Bilham 73'
  • goal James Berry 87'