Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
37.95% (![]() | 23.97% (![]() | 38.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.3% (![]() | 40.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% (![]() | 63.08% (![]() |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% (![]() | 21.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.39% (![]() | 54.61% (![]() |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% (![]() | 21.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.48% (![]() | 54.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.39% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 10.92% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.4% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 64 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 53 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 51 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 43 |
8 | Montrose | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 40 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 36 |
10 | Dumbarton | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 20 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |