Scottish League One Gameweek 6
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
K Park Training Academy

East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 5.30pm
Ross County 4 - 0 East Kilbride
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Finlay Gray

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Hamilton 1 - 0 Cove Rangers
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Kyle MacDonald

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a East Kilbride win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Hamilton Academical has a probability of 30.84% and a draw has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win is 1-2 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).

Result

East Kilbride 42.78% (-1.47)
Draw 26.33% (+0.22)
Hamilton Academical 30.84% (+1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.37% (+1.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.45% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 20.55% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 57.63% (+1.13)
Under 2.5 42.37% (-1.13)
Over 3.5 37.46% (+1.54)
Under 3.5 62.54% (-1.54)
Over 4.5 22.48% (+0.88)
Under 4.5 77.52% (-0.89)

First Half Winner

East Kilbride 34.31% (-0.33)
Draw 39.06% (-0.47)
Hamilton Academical 26.63% (+0.81)

Team To Score First

East Kilbride 51.42% (-0.88)
No Goal 6.02% (-0.02)
Hamilton Academical 42.56% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 55.51% (-1.36)
Equal 8 11.26% (-0.16)
Under 8 33.24% (+1.54)
Over 9 44.24% (-1.09)
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.28)
Under 9 44.49% (+1.36)
Over 10.5 33.85% (-0.75)
Under 10.5 66.15% (+0.75)

East Kilbride Goals

Over 1.5 46.14% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 53.86% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 22.4% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.6% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 8.89% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 91.11% (+0.16)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 67.94% (+1.10)
Under 0.5 32.06% (-1.10)
Over 1.5 36.78% (+2.00)
Under 1.5 63.22% (-2.00)
Over 2.5 15.87% (+1.63)
Under 2.5 84.13% (-1.64)
Over 3.5 6.13% (+0.52)
Under 3.5 93.87% (-0.52)

Score analysis

East Kilbride 42.78%
Draw 26.33%
Hamilton Academical 30.84%
East Kilbride
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.35)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.45)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.15)
Other @ 8.44% (-0.25)
Total : 42.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 6.64% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.19)
Other @ 0.45% (+0.11)
Total : 26.33%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 4.23% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.55% (+0.48)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.12)
Other @ 5.68% (+0.42)
Total : 30.84%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Challenge Cup
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 4
FT K Park Training Academy
  • Aaron Arnott 14' yellowcard
  • Chris McGowan 31' goal
  • Nathan Flanagan 53' goal
  • Nathan Flanagan 62' yellowcard
  • Chris McGowan 73' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Mumbongo 17'
  • goal Aaron Arnott 20' (OG)
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 36'
  • goal Connor Murray 38'
  • yellowcard Joel Mumbongo 73'
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 80'
  • yellowcard Jackson Longridge 90'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 15, 2017 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Craig Howie 66' yellowcard
  • Sean Winter 69' goal
  • goal Darian MacKinnon 39'
  • yellowcard Darian MacKinnon 57'
  • goal Lewis Longridge 81'
  • goal Alistair Crawford 90'