Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2026 7.45pm
New Douglas Park

Hamilton Academical vs Celtic Reserves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Celtic Reserves

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 63.38%. A win for Celtic Reserves has a probability of 19.23% and a draw has a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.82%) and 3-1 (6.31%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win is 1-2 (4.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.88%).

Result

Hamilton Academical 63.38% (-1.53)
Draw 17.4% (+0.71)
Celtic Reserves 19.23% (+0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.35% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.09% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 11.91% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 72.25% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 27.75% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 51.29% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 48.71% (-0.59)
Over 4.5 37.81% (+0.93)
Under 4.5 62.19% (-0.93)

First Half Winner

Hamilton Academical 51.67% (+2.79)
Draw 30.88% (-2.91)
Celtic Reserves 17.45% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Hamilton Academical 68.09% (-0.43)
No Goal 3.11% (+0.18)
Celtic Reserves 28.8% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 65.34% (+2.89)
Equal 8 10.42% (+0.32)
Under 8 24.23% (-3.20)
Over 9 54.06% (+2.29)
Equal 9 11.28% (+0.60)
Under 9 34.66% (-2.89)
Over 10.5 42.86% (+1.51)
Under 10.5 57.14% (-1.51)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 1.5 67.37% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 32.63% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 43.66% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 56.34% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 24.84% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 75.16% (-0.44)

Celtic Reserves Goals

Over 0.5 53.44% (+0.72)
Under 0.5 46.56% (-0.72)
Over 1.5 28.09% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 71.91% (-1.11)
Over 2.5 11.95% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 88.05% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 4.68% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 95.32% (-0.52)

Score analysis

Hamilton Academical 63.38%
Draw 17.4%
Celtic Reserves 19.23%
Hamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.32)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.53)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.42)
1-0 @ 5.87% (-0.40)
3-2 @ 4.39% (-0.15)
Other @ 24.47% (+0.25)
Total : 63.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.88% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.11% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.82% (+0.23)
Other @ 0.37% (+0.18)
Total : 17.4%
Celtic Reserves
1-2 @ 4.4% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.94% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.31% (+0.33)
Total : 19.23%