Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.