Elgin City
Scottish League One Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 8, 2021 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Edinburgh City

Elgin
0 - 1
Edinburgh


Sopel (39'), Brown (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Josh Campbell slotted home in first-half stoppage-time to earn City a 1-0 away victory over Elgin, while Stranraer and Dumbarton played out a stalemate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawEdinburgh City
35.57%24.18%40.24%
Both teams to score 60.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07%41.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67%64.33%
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71%57.28%
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03%20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27%53.73%
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 35.57%
    Edinburgh City 40.24%
    Draw 24.18%
Elgin CityDrawEdinburgh City
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.57%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-1 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 4.52%
2-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.24%