Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.