Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spartans had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Spartans win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.